交部想用ETC在國道抓超速 法務部認 - 汽車
By Linda
at 2018-09-14T09:34
at 2018-09-14T09:34
Table of Contents
另一個角度看這件事請。
對於明知不可為而為之的違規,甚至是不確定是否違規的行為
例如:超速、龜速、酒駕、闖紅燈、違停
違規人在心中勢必會衡量利害,對「私人負擔之風險成本」做出取捨。
舉例來說,原本的單點測速,違規人會賭會不會被抓,
而被抓的機率可有效透過熟悉照相機位置、攔檢位置降低。
進而降低每次違規的罰金期望值。
違規的罰金期望值=被抓機率 x 違規罰款金額
若改為區間測速,其效果來自於被抓機率提升為接近100%
因此違規罰金期望值大幅增加,達到嚇阻效果。
換個角度來說,大幅度提高違規罰款金額,也會有類似效果。
而且完全不需要修改硬體建設。
而且這種做法不僅限於超速、國道,其他違規也適用。
例如酒駕沒入汽車,違規停車罰款從600-1200改為60000- 120000
這樣會不會對交通改善更直接呢?
--
對於明知不可為而為之的違規,甚至是不確定是否違規的行為
例如:超速、龜速、酒駕、闖紅燈、違停
違規人在心中勢必會衡量利害,對「私人負擔之風險成本」做出取捨。
舉例來說,原本的單點測速,違規人會賭會不會被抓,
而被抓的機率可有效透過熟悉照相機位置、攔檢位置降低。
進而降低每次違規的罰金期望值。
違規的罰金期望值=被抓機率 x 違規罰款金額
若改為區間測速,其效果來自於被抓機率提升為接近100%
因此違規罰金期望值大幅增加,達到嚇阻效果。
換個角度來說,大幅度提高違規罰款金額,也會有類似效果。
而且完全不需要修改硬體建設。
而且這種做法不僅限於超速、國道,其他違規也適用。
例如酒駕沒入汽車,違規停車罰款從600-1200改為60000- 120000
這樣會不會對交通改善更直接呢?
--
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汽車
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